Austria U21 vs Azerbaijan U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
ALB
2 - 2
AUT
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
AZE
1 - 2
AUT
20%
23%
57%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
AUT
3 - 1
ALB
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
AUT
1 - 0
SCO
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
BLR
2 - 1
AUT
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Azerbaijan U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
AZE
0 - 4
SCO
20%
23%
57%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
AZE
1 - 2
AUT
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
AZE
2 - 3
BLR
18%
23%
59%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 0
AZE
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
LUX
2 - 1
AZE
31%
23%
46%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |