Australia U23 vs Nueva Zelanda U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
31%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
AUS
1 - 1
NZL
48%
23%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
KOR
2 - 1
AUS
10%
17%
73%
|
54 | 17 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
KOR
2 - 0
AUS
9%
17%
74%
|
55 | 16 | 39 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
MKD
3 - 1
AUS
30%
24%
46%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
TUR
0 - 1
AUS
67%
19%
13%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Nueva Zelanda U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
AUS
1 - 1
NZL
48%
23%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
3 - 0
NZL
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
EGY
1 - 1
NZL
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
BLR
1 - 0
NZL
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
NZL
0 - 1
BEL
17%
21%
62%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |