Australia U20 vs Nueva Zelanda U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2013 |
NED
3 - 1
AUS
81%
13%
5%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
POR
4 - 1
AUS
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
AUS
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
AUS
1 - 5
ESP
10%
19%
71%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
AUS
2 - 3
CRC
20%
23%
58%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Zelanda U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
NZL
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
URU
1 - 1
NZL
85%
11%
4%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
CMR
1 - 1
NZL
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
NGA
3 - 4
NZL
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
KOR
1 - 0
NZL
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |