Australia U20 vs Mongolia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CHN
1 - 1
AUS
47%
22%
31%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
KGZ
2 - 4
AUS
7%
13%
81%
|
52 | 11 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 1
AUS
61%
20%
19%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 2
AUS
62%
20%
19%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
URU
3 - 3
AUS
70%
18%
13%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Mongolia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
KGZ
7 - 0
MON
43%
22%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
CHN
6 - 0
MON
80%
14%
6%
|
9 | 56 | 47 | 0 |