Austin Lightning vs Shell Shockers analysis


43	ELO	41
0.8%	Tilt	-1.5%
29261º	General ELO ranking	29259º
389º	Country ELO ranking	387º
ELO win probability

46.2%

Austin Lightning

24.7%

Draw

29.1%

Shell Shockers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

46.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%

24.7%

Draw

0-0

6%

1-1

11.6%

2-2

5.7%

3-3

1.2%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

24.7%

29.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%