Austin FC vs New Mexico United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austin FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
POR
2 - 2
AUS
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
AUS
2 - 2
SJE
50%
22%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
GAL
2 - 0
AUS
63%
20%
18%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
AUS
0 - 0
VAN
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
LAN
3 - 0
AUS
78%
13%
9%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
New Mexico United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
RGV
2 - 2
NMU
36%
27%
38%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
NMU
3 - 1
ORA
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
NMU
2 - 1
ARI
35%
24%
41%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
NMU
46%
25%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
NMU
1 - 1
SDL
37%
26%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |