Austin FC vs Mazatlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austin FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
AUS
2 - 1
KCW
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
VAN
2 - 1
AUS
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 4
AUS
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
IMI
1 - 1
AUS
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
AUS
3 - 0
HOD
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mazatlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MAZ
0 - 3
MON
25%
26%
49%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
PUM
0 - 0
MAZ
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
MAZ
1 - 1
PAC
21%
24%
55%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CHI
4 - 1
MAZ
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MAZ
0 - 2
MON
22%
25%
53%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |