Austin FC vs Cincinnati analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austin FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
AUS
1 - 1
ATS
38%
25%
38%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
HOD
0 - 4
AUS
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
AUS
57%
21%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
POR
3 - 0
AUS
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
AUS
3 - 1
KCW
34%
24%
42%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
CIN
1 - 1
PHU
13%
20%
68%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CIN
1 - 2
AFC
16%
24%
61%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
PHU
2 - 0
CIN
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
CIN
3 - 6
NSC
20%
28%
52%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
IMI
5 - 1
CIN
61%
22%
18%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |