Austin FC II vs St. Louis II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
45.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austin FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
AFC
4 - 1
LAF
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
AFC
1 - 0
SPK
47%
25%
29%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
POR
1 - 1
AFC
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
NOT
1 - 2
AFC
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
COR
1 - 0
AFC
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
St. Louis II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
MON
1 - 3
STL
18%
22%
61%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
STL
1 - 0
HOU
56%
23%
22%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2025 |
STL
3 - 1
SAN
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2025 |
COR
2 - 3
STL
21%
23%
56%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
STL
2 - 0
NOT
45%
25%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |