Austin FC II vs Real Monarchs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austin FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
SPK
2 - 2
AFC
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
NOT
3 - 3
AFC
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 0
POR
46%
23%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
COR
34%
25%
42%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
MON
4 - 0
AFC
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
NOT
21%
24%
55%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
TAC
3 - 0
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
MON
5 - 1
SPK
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
MON
4 - 0
AFC
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +4 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
NOT
2 - 1
MON
81%
13%
6%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |