Austin Bold vs Real Monarchs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austin Bold
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
AUB
43%
24%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
NMU
3 - 1
AUB
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
TUL
1 - 1
AUB
37%
22%
40%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
OKC
0 - 1
AUB
20%
21%
59%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
AUB
1 - 1
RGV
58%
20%
22%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
AUB
43%
24%
34%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
MON
0 - 2
LAG
40%
24%
37%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
USA
2 - 2
MON
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SAC
2 - 0
MON
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
MON
0 - 3
VAN
10%
17%
73%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |