Aurrera KE vs SD Zamudio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CLU
5 - 0
AUR
61%
22%
17%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 4
CDV
38%
26%
36%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ZAL
3 - 0
AUR
70%
19%
11%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
AUR
0 - 1
LON
49%
26%
25%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CDU
2 - 0
AUR
67%
21%
13%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SD Zamudio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ZAM
3 - 0
DEU
57%
23%
20%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
BFC
3 - 1
ZAM
54%
24%
22%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CLU
0 - 1
ZAM
40%
26%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ZAM
2 - 1
CDV
59%
22%
19%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ZAL
0 - 0
ZAM
59%
22%
19%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |