Aurrera De Leitza vs CD Ilumberri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurrera De Leitza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GAR
1 - 0
AUR
55%
23%
22%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AUR
3 - 3
INF
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CFB
1 - 2
AUR
40%
24%
37%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
AUR
6 - 1
CDE
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
AVA
9 - 0
AUR
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD Ilumberri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CDI
2 - 1
CFB
29%
23%
48%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CDB
1 - 2
CDI
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CDI
1 - 2
AVA
17%
21%
61%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
CDI
1 - 1
CHA
18%
24%
58%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
TUD
2 - 2
CDI
83%
12%
5%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |