Aurora FC vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
AUR
0 - 1
COM
50%
27%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
DEP
0 - 2
AUR
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 1
CHI
48%
28%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ESC
2 - 0
AUR
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
COM
2 - 2
AUR
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2021 |
QUI
2 - 0
NUE
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
NUE
1 - 0
QUI
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
COM
1 - 2
NUE
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
NUE
2 - 3
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
NUE
4 - 0
MIX
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +2 |