Primera Clausura Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Aurora FC vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 2
DEP
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
QUI
2 - 1
AUR
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 0
SAY
55%
23%
21%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
COM
2 - 4
AUR
39%
26%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 1
SAC
38%
30%
32%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
SPD
2 - 1
NUE
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
NUE
2 - 2
REU
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
IZT
2 - 0
NUE
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
NUE
1 - 0
ROS
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SLC
0 - 0
NUE
43%
25%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |