Aurora FC vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
40%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 1
AUR
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 0
IZT
30%
27%
44%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 0
AUR
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 0
DEP
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
COB
1 - 1
AUR
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
NUE
2 - 1
COM
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 1
NUE
35%
24%
40%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SPD
1 - 0
NUE
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
NUE
4 - 0
DEP
44%
25%
32%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
HUE
1 - 1
NUE
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |