Aurora FC vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 2
DEP
17%
26%
57%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
HUE
4 - 2
AUR
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AUR
3 - 1
PUE
26%
26%
49%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 0
LAG
25%
27%
49%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SPD
1 - 0
AUR
58%
23%
20%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
LAG
1 - 2
NUE
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
NUE
2 - 0
SPD
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
DEP
3 - 1
NUE
56%
23%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
NUE
4 - 0
AYU
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +3 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BAR
5 - 0
NUE
53%
23%
23%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |