Aurora FC vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SPD
1 - 3
AUR
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
AUR
3 - 0
AYU
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ANT
1 - 1
AUR
59%
23%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 0
AUR
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
AUR
0 - 0
DEP
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
NUE
2 - 1
LAG
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
NUE
1 - 1
COA
57%
23%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
COA
1 - 1
NUE
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
NUE
3 - 1
COA
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ANT
3 - 2
NUE
46%
26%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |