Aurora FC vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 1
ESC
28%
27%
45%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
SPD
2 - 0
AUR
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
COA
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
IZT
2 - 1
AUR
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 0
LAG
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
NUE
2 - 1
SPD
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
COA
3 - 0
NUE
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
NUE
1 - 0
IZT
46%
26%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 2
NUE
49%
24%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
NUE
0 - 0
PUE
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |