Aurora FC vs Nueva Concepción analysis

Aurora FC Nueva Concepción
46 ELO 45
-16.8% Tilt -6.3%
4022º General ELO ranking 20159º
15º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
46.2%
Aurora FC
26%
Draw
27.8%
Nueva Concepción

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
Aurora FC
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.8%
Win probability
Nueva Concepción
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aurora FC
+4%
+14%
Nueva Concepción

ELO progression

Aurora FC
Nueva Concepción
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aurora FC
Aurora FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2012
AUR
Aurora FC
2 - 1
Juventud Escuintleca
ESC
28%
27%
45%
45 52 7 0
08 Feb. 2012
SPD
CD San Pedro
2 - 0
Aurora FC
AUR
53%
24%
23%
47 49 2 -2
05 Feb. 2012
AUR
Aurora FC
1 - 0
Coatepeque
COA
44%
26%
30%
46 45 1 +1
29 Jan. 2012
IZT
Iztapa
2 - 1
Aurora FC
AUR
48%
25%
27%
47 45 2 -1
22 Jan. 2012
AUR
Aurora FC
2 - 0
La Gomera
LAG
47%
26%
27%
46 45 1 +1

Matches

Nueva Concepción
Nueva Concepción
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2012
NUE
Nueva Concepción
2 - 1
CD San Pedro
SPD
32%
25%
43%
44 50 6 0
08 Feb. 2012
COA
Coatepeque
3 - 0
Nueva Concepción
NUE
48%
25%
27%
45 44 1 -1
05 Feb. 2012
NUE
Nueva Concepción
1 - 0
Iztapa
IZT
46%
26%
29%
44 46 2 +1
29 Jan. 2012
LAG
La Gomera
2 - 2
Nueva Concepción
NUE
49%
24%
26%
44 44 0 0
22 Jan. 2012
NUE
Nueva Concepción
0 - 0
Puerto San José
PUE
45%
25%
30%
44 46 2 0