Aurora FC vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
PUE
2 - 1
AUR
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
IZT
2 - 1
AUR
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
AUR
4 - 2
LAG
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
DEP
5 - 2
AUR
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
AUR
3 - 1
DEP
35%
28%
38%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
NUE
0 - 0
IZT
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
LAG
2 - 1
NUE
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
NUE
2 - 1
COA
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ANT
1 - 2
NUE
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
NUE
2 - 1
TOR
43%
26%
32%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |