Aurora FC vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MIX
0 - 0
AUR
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 1
MAR
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
IZT
1 - 0
AUR
49%
24%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 1
AUR
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
AUR
0 - 0
ESC
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
NUE
3 - 2
PUE
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ESC
0 - 0
NUE
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
NUE
0 - 0
COA
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
LAG
0 - 0
NUE
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
NUE
3 - 2
SPD
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |