Aurora FC vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
IZT
4 - 3
AUR
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 2
COA
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
TOR
4 - 2
AUR
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
AUR
2 - 2
MIX
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
IZT
1 - 3
AUR
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
NUE
1 - 1
ESC
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
MIX
1 - 1
NUE
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
NUE
2 - 0
ANT
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +4 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
SPD
2 - 1
NUE
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
NUE
0 - 0
COA
30%
26%
45%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |