Aurora FC vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 2
TOR
49%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MIX
1 - 2
AUR
26%
25%
49%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
AUR
0 - 1
IZT
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
AUR
2 - 0
ESC
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ANT
1 - 1
AUR
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ANT
1 - 0
NUE
67%
20%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
NUE
2 - 1
SPD
27%
25%
49%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +3 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
COA
1 - 0
NUE
69%
19%
13%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
NUE
1 - 3
AME
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -3 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ESC
2 - 0
NUE
50%
25%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |