Aurora FC vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 2
AUR
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
AUR
1 - 1
CAR
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CDB
1 - 1
AUR
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
DSA
2 - 0
AUR
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 1
QUI
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MIX
1 - 2
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
DSA
1 - 1
MIX
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MIX
0 - 0
SAC
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MIX
2 - 2
DEP
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
COM
1 - 2
MIX
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |