Aurora FC vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SAC
1 - 1
AUR
30%
27%
43%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
AUR
2 - 1
DSA
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
AUR
49%
24%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
AUR
2 - 0
QUI
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
AUR
4 - 1
DEP
38%
27%
36%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MIX
4 - 0
DEP
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
CDB
2 - 2
MIX
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MIX
3 - 0
CAR
58%
22%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SAY
2 - 0
MIX
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
QUI
3 - 1
MIX
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |