Aurora FC vs Mictlán analysis

Aurora FC Mictlán
50 ELO 48
-22.9% Tilt -28%
3916º General ELO ranking 3983º
14º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
41.2%
Aurora FC
28.2%
Draw
30.6%
Mictlán

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
Aurora FC
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
30.6%
Win probability
Mictlán
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aurora FC
+4%
+56%
Mictlán

Points and table prediction

Aurora FC
Their league position
Mictlán
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
14º
10º
20
19º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Zacapa
32
35
100%
Coatepeque
32
33
100%
Suchitepequez
29
32
100%
San Benito CF
32
32
100%
Nueva Concepción
29
29
100%
Quiché
28
29
100%
Marquense
24
27
0%
CD San Pedro
10º
24
27
0%
Juventud Pinulteca
25
25
100%
Aurora FC
12º
22
25
10º
100%
Catarina
24
24
11º
100%
Comunicaciones II
11º
23
23
12º
100%
Deportivo Barberena
15º
19
22
13º
100%
Chimaltenango
13º
21
21
14º
0%
Sacachispas
16º
18
21
15º
0%
Deportivo Sanarate
17º
18
21
16º
100%
Mictlán
14º
20
20
17º
100%
Sololá
18º
15
18
18º
100%
San Juan
19º
14
14
19º
100%
Puerto San José
20º
12
12
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Aurora FC
Mictlán
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Aurora FC
Mictlán
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aurora FC
Aurora FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2023
CHI
Chimaltenango
1 - 0
Aurora FC
AUR
29%
30%
41%
50 44 6 0
15 Jan. 2023
AUR
Aurora FC
1 - 1
Zacapa
ZAC
43%
29%
28%
50 51 1 0
08 Jan. 2023
AUR
Aurora FC
2 - 1
Nueva Concepción
NUE
35%
26%
39%
50 49 1 0
13 Nov. 2022
AUR
Aurora FC
0 - 0
Coatepeque
COA
27%
23%
50%
50 52 2 0
06 Nov. 2022
COA
Coatepeque
2 - 0
Aurora FC
AUR
50%
23%
26%
51 51 0 -1

Matches

Mictlán
Mictlán
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2023
CON
Mictlán
0 - 1
San Benito CF
SAN
51%
24%
25%
50 46 4 0
15 Jan. 2023
DSA
Deportivo Sanarate
1 - 1
Mictlán
CON
35%
27%
38%
50 44 6 0
23 Oct. 2022
COA
Coatepeque
1 - 1
Mictlán
CON
50%
23%
27%
50 51 1 0
21 Oct. 2022
CON
Mictlán
1 - 2
Coatepeque
COA
37%
24%
40%
51 51 0 -1
16 Oct. 2022
CON
Mictlán
4 - 0
San Benito CF
SAN
46%
25%
28%
50 47 3 +1