Aurora FC vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.9%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
30.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 0
AUR
26%
30%
44%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
AUR
2 - 0
DSA
41%
28%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 1
AUR
44%
28%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
AUR
2 - 0
JUP
33%
28%
39%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
ZAC
3 - 0
AUR
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CON
2 - 1
JUP
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
ZAC
1 - 0
CON
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
CON
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 4
COM
59%
24%
17%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
DBC
1 - 1
CON
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |