Aurora FC vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+107%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
CFC
2 - 0
AUR
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
AUR
1 - 0
DCA
46%
26%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 1
AUR
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
AUR
3 - 3
DEP
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
COM
3 - 1
AUR
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
CAR
44%
27%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ACH
1 - 1
CON
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
SAC
3 - 0
CON
47%
27%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
CFC
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
DCA
1 - 0
CON
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |