Aurora FC vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
55.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
COM
2 - 0
AUR
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 1
UNI
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 1
CAR
21%
25%
54%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
QUI
2 - 0
AUR
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
AUR
0 - 0
SAC
46%
27%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 0
CON
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CON
0 - 1
COM
58%
25%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CON
2 - 0
UNI
51%
27%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
CON
38%
28%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
QUI
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |