Primera Clausura Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
Aurora FC vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
46.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
AUR
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
AUR
3 - 1
SPD
53%
25%
21%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
AUR
38%
26%
37%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
AUR
2 - 2
HUE
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
AUR
4 - 0
COM
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
AUR
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
COB
1 - 1
CON
33%
26%
42%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
CON
4 - 0
ZAC
60%
24%
16%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
CON
17%
22%
61%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
MIX
4 - 2
CON
31%
26%
44%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |