Aurora FC vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MIX
1 - 2
AUR
26%
25%
49%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
AUR
0 - 1
IZT
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
AUR
2 - 0
ESC
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ANT
1 - 1
AUR
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 2
SPD
63%
22%
16%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
TOR
4 - 2
ANT
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SPD
4 - 1
TOR
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
TOR
0 - 1
COA
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
AME
1 - 0
TOR
21%
25%
55%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
TOR
1 - 0
NUE
69%
20%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |