Aurora FC vs Cobán Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
45.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
5º
12º
12º
3
5º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
6 | 41 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 36 |
2º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 35 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 33 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 32 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
|
6º
|
3 | 32 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 31 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 30 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 27 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 23 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 21 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
|
5º
|
3 | 20 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
24% | 76.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 23.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
MUN
2 - 1
AUR
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
AUR
1 - 0
GUA
32%
29%
39%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CON
2 - 0
AUR
36%
27%
38%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
AUR
4 - 3
CON
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SLC
0 - 0
AUR
44%
25%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cobán Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
GUA
0 - 1
COB
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
COB
0 - 1
MIX
48%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
ANT
4 - 0
COB
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
COB
2 - 1
ANT
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
COB
2 - 1
TOR
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |