Primera Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Aurora FC vs Cobán Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
36.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
AYU
2 - 2
AUR
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 0
SPD
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
AUR
52%
24%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 1
AUR
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 1
HUE
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Cobán Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 1
COB
40%
26%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
COB
2 - 0
CON
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ZAC
2 - 2
COB
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SAY
2 - 0
COB
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
COB
2 - 1
QUI
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |