Aurora FC vs Cobán Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
JAL
2 - 0
AUR
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
LEO
3 - 1
AUR
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
AUR
0 - 1
CHI
44%
27%
30%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ANT
2 - 0
AUR
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
AUR
3 - 2
COM
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cobán Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
COB
3 - 0
VEN
47%
25%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
COB
1 - 0
ANT
44%
26%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
COB
0 - 1
LEO
46%
25%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
COB
0 - 1
HER
49%
25%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 1
COB
50%
24%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |