Apertura Guatemala Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Aurora FC vs Cobán Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
AUR
1 - 1
JRG
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
TEC
1 - 2
AUR
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
AUR
5 - 0
ZAC
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
COB
0 - 1
AUR
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
CHI
2 - 2
AUR
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cobán Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
COM
2 - 1
COB
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
COB
5 - 1
ANT
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
TEC
0 - 0
COB
48%
25%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
COB
0 - 1
AUR
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
COB
0 - 0
LEO
58%
22%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |