Aurora FC vs Chimaltenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
24.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
DSA
3 - 1
AUR
52%
26%
22%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
AUR
3 - 2
ZAC
36%
30%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
COM
0 - 0
AUR
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
AUR
0 - 0
CHI
40%
30%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
DSA
2 - 0
AUR
51%
26%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chimaltenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 0
JUP
28%
27%
45%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
LEO
4 - 2
CHI
59%
24%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 2
LEO
33%
30%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
DSA
2 - 1
CHI
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 0
AGB
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |