Aurora FC vs Chimaltenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
24.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ESC
2 - 0
AUR
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
COM
2 - 2
AUR
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
AUR
2 - 0
DEP
38%
25%
36%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 0
AUR
39%
29%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 0
ESC
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chimaltenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 1
DEP
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
ESC
3 - 1
CHI
43%
28%
30%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
COM
0 - 0
CHI
42%
28%
30%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 0
AUR
39%
29%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 0
AUR
48%
27%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |