Aurora FC vs Chimaltenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
36.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 2
ESC
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
DEP
0 - 1
AUR
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
COM
0 - 2
AUR
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 0
AUR
65%
22%
13%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 1
CON
28%
28%
44%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Chimaltenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 0
COM
62%
23%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CHI
0 - 0
ESC
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
DEP
0 - 0
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
XIN
1 - 1
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 0
SOL
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |