Aurora FC vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
53.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
QUI
2 - 0
AUR
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
AUR
0 - 0
SAC
46%
27%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
AUR
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 1
MIX
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
AUR
3 - 2
DEP
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
CON
38%
28%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
COM
1 - 1
CAR
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
UNI
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 0
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
QUI
1 - 0
CAR
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |