Aurora FC vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
UNI
2 - 2
AUR
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2000 |
AUR
0 - 2
COM
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
ACH
2 - 1
AUR
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
AUR
1 - 2
LEO
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
ANT
0 - 0
AUR
53%
23%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
CAR
0 - 0
COB
42%
27%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2000 |
SLC
1 - 0
CAR
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2000 |
MUN
3 - 0
CAR
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
CAR
0 - 1
CHI
43%
26%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
CAR
0 - 0
ZAC
43%
26%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |