Aurora FC vs Cabrones de Barcena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
HER
1 - 1
AUR
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
AUR
0 - 1
HER
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 1
IZT
44%
27%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
IZT
0 - 1
AUR
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
AUR
2 - 0
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cabrones de Barcena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
5 - 1
CDB
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CDB
3 - 1
QUI
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CDB
2 - 1
CAR
50%
24%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SAY
1 - 0
CDB
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
CDB
2 - 2
MIX
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |