Aurora vs Veduggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
63.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+111%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
REA
3 - 1
AUR
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ZAN
0 - 1
AUR
85%
11%
5%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
AUR
0 - 3
NUO
11%
18%
72%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 1
AUR
83%
12%
5%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
AUR
0 - 1
MAN
12%
18%
70%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Veduggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
VED
0 - 2
ARC
21%
21%
58%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
REA
0 - 0
VED
63%
20%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VED
1 - 2
OLY
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ZAN
3 - 1
VED
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
VED
3 - 2
NUO
20%
21%
59%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +2 |