Aurora Alto Casertano vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
76%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora Alto Casertano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
AAC
0 - 4
PIN
9%
17%
74%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
UST
1 - 0
AAC
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
AAC
0 - 0
MON
10%
17%
73%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
VAS
3 - 2
AAC
72%
17%
12%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
SSS
2 - 4
REC
60%
23%
17%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
REC
2 - 0
MON
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
REC
0 - 4
UST
69%
16%
14%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
REC
4 - 1
CAS
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
REC
1 - 0
ASD
46%
25%
30%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |