Aurora Alto Casertano vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
71.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora Alto Casertano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
NER
3 - 0
AAC
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
AAC
0 - 0
POR
7%
13%
80%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
TRA
1 - 0
AAC
91%
7%
2%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
AAC
0 - 3
SFF
7%
14%
79%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 1
AAC
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
FAN
3 - 1
UST
50%
24%
27%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
FAN
28%
27%
44%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
FAN
1 - 2
SAN
36%
28%
35%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SSS
1 - 0
FAN
55%
25%
20%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FAN
0 - 1
MAT
47%
27%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |