Aulnoye vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
51.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aulnoye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 0
AUL
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
AUL
1 - 2
GRA
26%
25%
49%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ESW
2 - 0
AUL
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
AUL
1 - 3
DIE
25%
24%
51%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AVI
4 - 2
AUL
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
AIL
0 - 3
ARR
19%
24%
58%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ARR
0 - 0
IRI
37%
26%
38%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SED
1 - 0
ARR
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ARR
0 - 1
AMI
59%
23%
18%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ARR
1 - 0
FEI
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |