August Town vs Sporting Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
August Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2007 |
POR
3 - 1
AUG
61%
24%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
REN
1 - 0
AUG
53%
24%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2007 |
AUG
1 - 1
ARN
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
AUG
1 - 3
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
AUG
1 - 2
HAR
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
SPO
0 - 0
VIL
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2007 |
STG
3 - 1
SPO
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
SPO
2 - 0
TRI
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
BOY
4 - 1
SPO
45%
26%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
SPO
1 - 1
WAT
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |