Augšdaugava vs Rigas FS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
56.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+96%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
9º
14º
14º
19
4º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 56 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 44 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
|
5º
|
19 | 44 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 41 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 40 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 34 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 25 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 15 |
14º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 15.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 82.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
93.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Augšdaugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
SMI
5 - 0
AUG
88%
8%
4%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
AUG
4 - 1
PRA
8%
12%
80%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | +8 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
PRA
3 - 1
AUG
78%
13%
9%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
AUG
1 - 5
FKB
19%
19%
62%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
RFA
1 - 0
AUG
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Rigas FS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
RIG
4 - 1
TUK
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
RIG
3 - 1
OUD
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 1
KFV
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
PRA
3 - 3
RIG
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 1
FSL
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | +1 |