Augšdaugava vs Ogre United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
71.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+96%
+173%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
9º
14º
14º
23
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 56 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 44 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 44 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 41 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 40 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 34 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 25 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 15 |
14º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 26.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
93.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Augšdaugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
KFV
2 - 0
AUG
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
FSL
1 - 1
AUG
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 0
AUG
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
SKA
2 - 0
AUG
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 57 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
AUG
1 - 2
PPK
63%
19%
19%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ogre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
OUD
4 - 1
TUK
49%
22%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
RFA
0 - 3
OUD
33%
22%
45%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
KFV
1 - 1
OUD
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
OUD
8 - 1
PRA
29%
23%
48%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +5 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
FSL
0 - 1
OUD
47%
22%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |