Augšdaugava vs JFK Ventspils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
65.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+96%
+65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
9º
14º
14º
26
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 56 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 44 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 44 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 41 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 40 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 34 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 25 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 15 |
14º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 28% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 67.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
93.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Augšdaugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
ALB
0 - 0
AUG
71%
18%
11%
|
23 | 69 | 46 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
AUG
0 - 0
RIG
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 65 | 43 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
SMI
5 - 0
AUG
88%
8%
4%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
AUG
4 - 1
PRA
8%
12%
80%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | +8 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
PRA
3 - 1
AUG
78%
13%
9%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
JFK Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
KFV
0 - 2
LIE
3%
8%
89%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 2
KFV
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
KFV
2 - 2
SKA
28%
27%
46%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2025 |
UDA
1 - 3
KFV
16%
19%
66%
|
46 | 15 | 31 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 2
KFV
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |