Augšdaugava vs Beitar/Riga Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
62.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+96%
+454%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
9º
14º
14º
26
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 56 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 44 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 44 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 41 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 40 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 34 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 25 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 15 |
14º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
93.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Augšdaugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
RFA
1 - 0
AUG
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
TUK
3 - 1
AUG
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
AUG
0 - 3
OUD
12%
17%
71%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
KFV
2 - 0
AUG
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
FSL
1 - 1
AUG
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Beitar/Riga Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
FKB
4 - 0
TUK
11%
15%
74%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
FKB
2 - 3
OUD
14%
18%
69%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
FKB
1 - 2
KFV
17%
20%
64%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
PRA
1 - 5
FKB
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
FKB
1 - 1
FSL
18%
20%
63%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +1 |